Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.021713 0.023329 0.025012 0.026898 0.028953 0.031129 0.033608
2024-10-20 0.018638 0.020907 0.023392 0.026324 0.029700 0.033477 0.038040
2024-10-27 0.017024 0.019728 0.022807 0.026590 0.031136 0.036452 0.043185
2024-11-03 0.015700 0.018674 0.022166 0.026598 0.032115 0.038809 0.047628
2024-11-10 0.014812 0.018016 0.021881 0.026927 0.033406 0.041529 0.052619
2024-11-17 0.013787 0.017088 0.021161 0.026609 0.033793 0.043059 0.056111
2024-11-24 0.012998 0.016386 0.020653 0.026489 0.034375 0.044818 0.059964
2024-12-01 0.012211 0.015628 0.020010 0.026124 0.034569 0.046022 0.063084
2024-12-08 0.011676 0.015161 0.019708 0.026176 0.035303 0.047974 0.067354
2024-12-15 0.011051 0.014534 0.019148 0.025825 0.035430 0.049048 0.070383
2024-12-22 0.010429 0.013875 0.018506 0.025311 0.035273 0.049678 0.072752
2024-12-29 0.009956 0.013395 0.018081 0.025073 0.035489 0.050842 0.075990
2025-01-05 0.009503 0.012926 0.017654 0.024814 0.035664 0.051964 0.079263
2025-01-12 0.008991 0.012351 0.017046 0.024255 0.035348 0.052306 0.081289
2025-01-19 0.008754 0.012157 0.016977 0.024488 0.036249 0.054586 0.086655
2025-01-26 0.008470 0.011879 0.016768 0.024493 0.036786 0.056303 0.091184
2025-02-02 0.008285 0.011739 0.016753 0.024791 0.037796 0.058837 0.097300
2025-02-09 0.007957 0.011370 0.016378 0.024503 0.037833 0.059753 0.100601
2025-02-16 0.007696 0.011091 0.016126 0.024394 0.038153 0.061151 0.104865
2025-02-23 0.007395 0.010741 0.015748 0.024062 0.038078 0.061859 0.107888
2025-03-02 0.007204 0.010549 0.015609 0.024110 0.038642 0.063704 0.113187
2025-03-09 0.006938 0.010232 0.015259 0.023791 0.038557 0.064384 0.116275
2025-03-16 0.006653 0.009875 0.014832 0.023324 0.038185 0.064519 0.118289